MAJOR NEWS


Live Economic Calendar Powered by the Forex Trading Portal Forexpros.com
Loading...

Sunday, August 31, 2008

Win It Like 4D

For people who have been treating 4D as an "investment", here are some numbers to show there is a better way to outperform 4D in the longer term.


If you buy all possible permutations within 0000-9999 with S$1 "Big" bets in a draw, you would need to spend S$10,000. The winnings would just be S$6,590 for the 23 sets of 4D winning numbers. A loss of S$3,410.

For more details on 4D, pls refer to Singapore Pools' website.

Assuming that a person "invests" S$10 per draw-3 draws per week-52 weeks, the annual "investment amount" is S$1,560 or S$130 per month.

To break-even, he needs to win consolation prize (smallest prize) 26 times in a year, i.e once every two weeks. The best thing is of course, winning the top prize of S$2,000, which requires only once to break-even and make money.

Assuming that there is not a single win throughout 10, 20 or 30 years, the sunken capital would be:
- S$15,600 (10 years)
- S$31,200 (20 years)
- S$46,800 (30 years)

Conversely, if he invests the S$130 per month using "drip in money", the portfolio value would be:-
If you use the potential portfolio value of "drip in money" to compare against "investing" in 4D, you need to be able to win 3 times First Prize every year consistently throughout 30 years just to be on par with a 8% per annum "drip in money" portfolio. For other comparison, see table below:
4D or "drip in money"?


0 comments: